AI scaling

The story of AI progress is dominated by scale. Training AI systems with more compute, power and data has consistently led to better performance. Epoch tracks the scale-up of the resources used to train AI systems, and what this means for capabilities and the future of AI. Epoch's research covers training compute trends, data availability, scaling laws, hardware constraints, and the question of whether scaling can continue through the end of the decade.

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Data on AI Models
Updated Aug. 4, 2026
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Data on AI Models

Our public database, the largest of its kind, tracks over 3500 machine learning models from 1950 to today. Explore data and graphs showing the trajectory of AI.

Largest AI Data Center: Doubling every 7 months
Data Insight
Jun. 11, 2026
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Largest AI Data Center: Doubling every 7 months

Since Colossus 1 launched in August 2024, the record for the largest AI data center has doubled every seven months. Epoch AI's breakdown of single-site compute capacity trends through 2028.

By Ben Cottier

Is a compute crunch coming?
Newsletter
May 25, 2026
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Is a compute crunch coming?

We estimated trends in global inference capacity and found that token demand appears to be growing much faster than supply.

By Luke Emberson and Jaime Sevilla

How Much AI Compute Do Frontier Labs Use?
Newsletter
May 20, 2026
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How Much AI Compute Do Frontier Labs Use?

OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI used just 20-30% of global AI compute in 2025, despite launching the AI boom. Epoch AI's analysis of frontier lab compute allocation and growth trajectories through 2027.

By Josh You

How Fast Could Robot Production Scale Up?
Report
Apr. 22, 2026
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How Fast Could Robot Production Scale Up?

We look at reference classes, factory buildout timelines, and upstream component supply to estimate plausible production rates for humanoids, quadrupeds, robotic arms, wheeled robots, and drones.

By Jean-Stanislas Denain and Yann Rivière

Total AI chip memory bandwidth has grown 4.1x per year, now reaching 70 million terabytes per second
Data Insight
Mar. 24, 2026
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Total AI chip memory bandwidth has grown 4.1x per year, now reaching 70 million terabytes per second

As of Q4 2025, memory bandwidth across global AI chips has reached roughly 70 million terabytes per second, enough to pass all data stored on the internet into memory in under an hour.

By Luke Emberson

Final training runs account for a minority of R&D compute spending
Newsletter
Mar. 23, 2026
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Final training runs account for a minority of R&D compute spending

New evidence following the MiniMax and Z.ai IPOs

By Jean-Stanislas Denain and Cheryl Wu

The least understood driver of AI progress
Newsletter
Feb. 25, 2026
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The least understood driver of AI progress

An opinionated guide to “algorithmic progress” and why it matters

By Anson Ho

How persistent is the inference cost burden?
Newsletter
Feb. 16, 2026
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How persistent is the inference cost burden?

Toby Ord argues that RL scaling primarily increases inference costs, creating a persistent economic burden. While the framing is useful, the cost to reach a given capability level falls fast, and the RL scaling data is thin.

By Jean-Stanislas Denain

Global AI computing capacity is doubling every 7 months
Data Insight
Jan. 9, 2026
Score: 0.0000
Global AI computing capacity is doubling every 7 months

Total available computing capacity from AI chips across all major designers has grown by approximately 3.3x per year since 2022, enabling larger-scale model development and consumer adoption.

By Josh You, Venkat Somala, Yafah Edelman, and Luke Emberson