Economic impact of AI

AI may reshape the economy more profoundly than any technology in generations. There are strong arguments that automation and productivity gains will be transformative, but precisely what these effects will be and when they will arrive is still uncertain. Epoch examines these questions through both empirical research and formal economic modeling, covering the effects of automation on jobs and wages as well as whether and to what degree AI-driven productivity gains could accelerate economic growth.

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AI at work: how AI is changing everyday job tasks
Report
Aug. 6, 2026
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AI at work: how AI is changing everyday job tasks

One in five US workers say AI now does work they once handed to a coworker or contractor, per a new Epoch AI/Ipsos survey of 1,106 employed adults.

By Caroline Falkman Olsson, Yafah Edelman, and Amreeta Das

Will parallelization limits delay an intelligence explosion?
Report
Jul. 29, 2026
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Will parallelization limits delay an intelligence explosion?

Even with automated AI R&D producing millions of virtual researchers, progress may be capped by our ability to divide, coordinate, and recombine their work. Epoch AI on why parallelization technology is a missing parameter in intelligence explosion models.

By Phil Trammell

Toward an O*NET for AI R&D
Newsletter
Jun. 17, 2026
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Toward an O*NET for AI R&D

Proposing a new way to track AI research automation

By Jean-Stanislas Denain, Joe Kwon, and Anson Ho

Controlling the capital after AGI
Newsletter
Jun. 9, 2026
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Controlling the capital after AGI

A simple taxonomy of the main proposals for post-AGI universal redistribution.

By Phil Trammell and Anson Ho

Data center buildout share of US GDP is still relatively small (but rapidly growing)
Data Insight
Jun. 5, 2026
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Data center buildout share of US GDP is still relatively small (but rapidly growing)

Investment spending on AI data centers, hardware, and networking together amounted to 1.4% of US GDP in Q1 2026, up from 0.7% — a rapid rise driven by AI infrastructure that has made the buildout a leading driver of growth in US private investment.

By Isabel Juniewicz

How Much AI Compute Do Frontier Labs Use?
Newsletter
May 20, 2026
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How Much AI Compute Do Frontier Labs Use?

OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI used just 20-30% of global AI compute in 2025, despite launching the AI boom. Epoch AI's analysis of frontier lab compute allocation and growth trajectories through 2027.

By Josh You

The economics of superstar AI researchers
Newsletter
May 13, 2026
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The economics of superstar AI researchers

What might explain AI researcher pay, and why it matters

By Anson Ho

AI is a common workplace tool: half of employed AI users now use it for work
Report
Apr. 9, 2026
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AI is a common workplace tool: half of employed AI users now use it for work

We surveyed over 2,000 Americans on how they use AI at work: who uses it, how much, which services, and whether it's replacing or creating tasks.

By Caroline Falkman Olsson and Yafah Edelman

What do “economic value” benchmarks tell us?
Report
Feb. 13, 2026
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What do “economic value” benchmarks tell us?

These benchmarks track a wide range of digital work. Progress will correlate with economic utility, but tasks are too self-contained to indicate full automation.

By Florian Brand and Greg Burnham

How close is AI to taking my job?
Newsletter
Feb. 6, 2026
Score: 0.0000
How close is AI to taking my job?

Beyond benchmarks as leading indicators for task automation

By Anson Ho